Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003638 0.003974 0.004334 0.004748 0.005213 0.005721 0.006320
2025-11-09 0.003075 0.003547 0.004088 0.004759 0.005573 0.006540 0.007784
2025-11-16 0.002717 0.003246 0.003882 0.004709 0.005770 0.007105 0.008941
2025-11-23 0.002438 0.002992 0.003681 0.004613 0.005862 0.007511 0.009905
2025-11-30 0.002277 0.002862 0.003612 0.004662 0.006126 0.008147 0.011239
2025-12-07 0.002180 0.002800 0.003618 0.004801 0.006515 0.008983 0.012960
2025-12-14 0.002029 0.002652 0.003492 0.004739 0.006602 0.009384 0.014063
2025-12-21 0.001887 0.002504 0.003352 0.004640 0.006618 0.009668 0.015006
2025-12-28 0.001779 0.002393 0.003254 0.004591 0.006700 0.010056 0.016165
2026-01-04 0.001704 0.002325 0.003212 0.004621 0.006902 0.010652 0.017767
2026-01-11 0.001614 0.002227 0.003118 0.004560 0.006949 0.010989 0.018939
2026-01-18 0.001537 0.002145 0.003042 0.004519 0.007023 0.011376 0.020258
2026-01-25 0.001454 0.002053 0.002949 0.004452 0.007059 0.011723 0.021606
2026-02-01 0.001395 0.001994 0.002904 0.004461 0.007233 0.012348 0.023664
2026-02-08 0.001330 0.001920 0.002830 0.004415 0.007299 0.012776 0.025371
2026-02-15 0.001260 0.001837 0.002736 0.004327 0.007280 0.013030 0.026725
2026-02-22 0.001224 0.001803 0.002719 0.004372 0.007512 0.013819 0.029514
2026-03-01 0.001206 0.001797 0.002749 0.004500 0.007917 0.015025 0.033621
2026-03-08 0.001155 0.001735 0.002680 0.004443 0.007948 0.015421 0.035697
2026-03-15 0.001101 0.001667 0.002596 0.004352 0.007900 0.015636 0.037324
2026-03-22 0.001060 0.001615 0.002539 0.004307 0.007944 0.016067 0.039676
2026-03-29 0.001032 0.001587 0.002520 0.004334 0.008142 0.016887 0.043412
2026-04-05 0.000993 0.001537 0.002461 0.004278 0.008154 0.017257 0.045836